In Progress
Working thesis

What the theme research is testing

AI infrastructure investment may reward essential bottleneck providers, but durable economics depend on capacity discipline, customer concentration, and returns on invested capital.

Value chain

  • Power generation
  • Grid and electrical equipment
  • Cooling
  • Networking
  • Compute
  • Construction

Potential beneficiaries

  • Mission-critical component suppliers
  • Network infrastructure providers
  • Power and cooling specialists

Principal risks

  • Overbuilding
  • Customer concentration
  • Technology substitution
  • Power and permitting delays

Monitoring questions

  • Where is capacity genuinely constrained?
  • Which suppliers convert demand into cash flow?
  • Are customer commitments durable?